Yesterday’s Race o’ the Day was a good news-bad news proposition.
Bad news: My pick for first came in third.
Good news: If you boxed my top three, you had yourself a $114 exacta and a $547 triple.
Bad news: I didn’t box my top three. So I hope you did.
For today, let’s turn to the seventh, a 1 1/16 mile first allowance test for fillies and mares on the lawn. It’s drawn a field of 11, plus three on the also-eligible list.
Artie’s Party is the lukewarm 7-2 favorite, and she’s run well enough this season at Gulfstream to suggest he’ll fire in here. She had a second and a third against $30,000 never-won-two company and then finished third against $50,000 company. The place horse from that most recent race returned to win her next, and this one certainly is a contender here, though she’ll have to overcome a wide post.
I Like It (4-1) has finished third twice in three grass starts, all against allowance company at Tampa. In her most recent, she came in a tough luck third after having the worst of the trip. Two of the four horses to run back from that race have returned victorious.
Many other horses here also have plausible cases to make. Lily of Johar (8-1) will make her second start off a layoff and, on best, might be good enough. Daydreamin Gracie (9-2) comes out of the same race as Lily of Johar, finished a length and change ahead of that one, and still has the right to improve. Theatricality (6-1) took a nice step forward in her first grass try to win a maiden special weight race, closing sharply despite a moderate pace. Red for Certain (5-1) switches to the Kathleen DeMasi barn after a win in $25,000 never-won-three company at Tampa, and though the 74 days away from racing could be a concern, the workout pattern suggests it may be more by design. Great Motion (8-1) gets blinkers after two acceptable but not world-beating efforts on grass. And Lucky Holly (12-1) will try a route of ground on the grass for the first time after some OK tries sprinting. And that’s not even including horses off the AE list, who we’re pretending don’t exist.
So, there are many ways to turn here. I’m going to go with I Like It to get the money, which would make her the third horse from her last race to win next-out. Let’s see if the blinks move Great Motion forward enough to get second, while Red for Certain noses out Artie’s Party for third. Make it 2-7-5-10, and good luck!
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3 comments
(@turfbloggers) (@turfbloggers)
April 15, 2012 at 2:44 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment
After yesterday’s lucrative trifecta, Sunday’s Maryland Race o’ the Day for @ThatsAmoreStabl is Pimlico 7 http://t.co/Hp0gXvel
Jesse Livermore
April 15, 2012 at 6:52 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment
I was with you on “I Like It.” Not the best of rides.
admin
April 15, 2012 at 8:10 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment
Thanks for checking in, Jesse. I didn’t see the race, but from the chart, it sure looks like she had plenty to do late.